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India's banking sector outlook remains stable: Moody's

31 Aug 2017 Evaluate

Amid improved prospects for asset quality, global credit rating agency, Moody's Investors Service has said that its outlook on India's banking system is stable, in line with the stable outlooks for 10 of the 15 banks which it has rated, reflecting stable view of operating environment.

Moody's further said that though the indicators like net new nonperforming loan (NPL) formation and problem loan ratios suggest a bottoming of the credit cycle, deteriorating asset quality in agriculture, and micro, small- and medium-sized enterprise (MSME) portfolios pose risks.

The report further said that public and private sector banks will continue to be bifurcated due to capitalization due to government's reluctance to infuse more capital into private sector banks. However, it noted that further improvement in the system's overall loan loss coverage along with subdued loan growth will ease pressure on capitalization.

As per the report, banks’ profitability remains low but it is improving. Besides it said that funding and liquidity of banks will remain strong following demonetization which has led to surge in low cost deposits with banks. Furthermore, the agency pointed that despite a reluctance to bolster bank capital, government support will remain strong for public sector banks, since failure for any of these banks could pose risks to systemic confidence.

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