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Indian economy to grow at 7-7.5% in Q2 FY18: Rajiv Kumar

04 Sep 2017 Evaluate

The Niti Aayog’s new Vice-Chairman Rajiv Kumar has expressed confidence that the Indian economy will grow by 7-7.5% in the second quarter (July-September) of fiscal year 2017-18. He added that growth will be supported by good monsoon and clarity over Goods and Services Tax (GST). India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate fell to a 3-year low of 5.7% in the first quarter (April-June), mainly on account of a slump in manufacturing.

Kumar said that demonetization impacted on growth in the first quarter as by then the currency shortage triggered by the scrapping of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes on November 9 last year was over. He also noted that active de-stocking of inventory by the firms before the rollout of GST from July 1 was one of the reasons for a slowdown in production, which ultimately led to the tepid growth. He further said that restocking began after July, as there was more clarity on how the new indirect tax system will function and added that a good monsoon forecast and companies plan to list them on domestic bourses will indicate more capital formation and investment activity, and FDI and FIIs are also increasing.

Pitching for formulating a policy to generate employment, vice-chairman of the premier think-tank said that the country needs to develop an Indian model of development and growth. On the financial burden on states owing to farm-loan waiver, he said that it is ‘worrisome’ and farmers’ distress is a real phenomenon. He also advised the government to bring down its interventions, like export bans, in agriculture.

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