Asian Development Bank (ADB) has lowered Indian economic growth forecasts, amid weakness in private consumption, manufacturing output and business investment. In its latest ‘Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2017’ release, ADB has slashed the country’s growth forecast to 7 per cent in financial year 2017-18 from the July forecast of 7.4 per cent. The regional development bank also lowered forecast for the next financial year to 7.4 per cent from earlier forecast of 7.6 per cent.
The report further said that investment in India is expected to remain muted in the current fiscal year due to budgetary constraints limit government expenditure. Besides, the regional development bank lowered its inflation estimates to average 4 per cent in the current year and 4.6 per cent in the next, down from the previous estimates of 5.2 per cent and 5.4 per cent, respectively.
ADB however pointed that India would remain one of the world's most dynamic emerging economies despite short term disruptions like last year’s demonetisation move and newly implemented Goods and Services tax (GST) regime. It further expects that Private consumption may pick up on the back of low inflation and anticipated wage hikes and said manufacturing would also improve as the sector adjusts to the new tax regime. ADB is also expecting improvement in tax collections on the back of GST.
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