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Scope for further rate cut in RBI`s next policy meet: ADB

27 Sep 2017 Evaluate

In view of sluggish economic activities, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has said that there is some scope for further rate cut by Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in the latter part of financial year 2018. Though, it also said that fiscal stimulus is less likely with the government having exhausted 92.4 percent of the full fiscal year deficit to cover slippage in non-tax revenue due to slow progress in achieving disinvestment targets.

In its 'Asian Development Outlook 2017 Update', the Manila-based multilateral lending agency slashed its forecast for India’s GDP growth for the current fiscal to 7 percent from 7.4 percent, due to weakness in private consumption, manufacturing output and business investment. Though, it expects that India's inflation to average 4 percent in 2017-18, significantly lower than the April forecast. The report observed that higher global food and fuel prices and improved aggregate demand are likely to push inflation to 4.6 percent in 2018-19, though still below the earlier forecast. It also pointed out that as government efforts to resolve banks’ NPA, yield results and corporations continue to deleverage, credit flow to industry and services is expected to increase.

The multilateral lender however said India continues its strong showing although demonetisation and implementation of the new goods and services tax regime have dented consumer spending and business investment.

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