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Economic slowdown bottomed out, GDP likely to grow 7% in FY18: Rajiv Kumar

16 Oct 2017 Evaluate

Niti Aayog Vice Chairman Rajiv Kumar has said that slowdown in India's economic growth that began in 2013-14 has bottomed out and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is likely to grow 6.9 to 7 percent in the fiscal 2017-18 and 7.5 percent in 2018-19. He indicated that the country’s GDP growth rate slumped to 7.1 percent in FY17, the year in which 87 percent of the currency was demonetised, despite a very good show by the agricultural sector. He also noted that on a quarterly basis the growth rate slipped to a three-year low of 5.7 percent in the Q1 (April-June) 2017-18.

Kumar said 'I think by the time you come to the first quarter of 2018, you will see a stronger recovery, and fiscal 2018-19 will be the much better year than fiscal 2017-18. And that will then continue because it will on much more sustained basis.' He also pointed out that the country did very well from 2007-13 and the downward cycle started in 2013-14, largely due to spurge in lending to undeserving projects since 2007.

Niti Aayog Vice Chairman further observed that the high economic growth between 2007-13 was on the basis of huge increase in loans and spurge in private debt for which there was zero control and that was given by the banking sector to the most undeserving cases (projects) and on completely false assumptions. Noting that growth stalled after 2013 because of policy stance, he said that as soon as that happened, all the debt began to becoming bad and therefore downward spiral started. 

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