A day after government announced a Rs 2.11 lakh crore recapitalisation plan for state-run banks to boost growth, Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian has said that India ideally should have 5-7 large banks, both public sector and private sector that are able to compete domestically and be competitive globally. Citing example of China, he said that there are four big banks which are now amongst biggest in the world.
Talking about the recapitalisation, Subramanian has stated it must be selective and incentive based, directing it to those banks where the bank for buck in terms of new credit creation will be maximum. He also said that since all banks must maintain a minimum capital adequacy, one possibility would be to recapitalise the unviable banks only to the extent necessary to finance their current balance sheet size while explicitly not providing for their growth.
CEA further said that the interest burden of recapitalisation bonds on the government would be around Rs 9,000 crore though they will not have any inflationary implications for the economy. He also believes that adding bonds would help bring down bad loans in the banks and strengthen their balance sheet and prop up credit growth. Further, he noted that first, the true fiscal cost of issuing the Rs 1.35 lakh crore recapitalisation bonds is the interest payment of about Rs 8,000-9,000 crore. However, he said that cost can be offset by the confidence impact of addressing the critical economic bottleneck, thereby increasing credit supply, private investment and growth.
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