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CRISIL projects 15% revenue growth annually for healthcare sector till FY20

01 Nov 2017 Evaluate

The rating agency, CRISIL in its latest report has said that the healthcare sector in India is expected to see 15 percent revenue growth annually over the next three financial years (FY2018-FY2020) on the back of rapid expansion in health insurance coverage through government-sponsored schemes. It also noted that the Rs 4.8 lakh crore healthcare delivery sector in India have been showing very robust demand growth and stable cash flows, and should maintain its momentum despite regulatory hiccups.  

As per the report, while strong demand will necessitate capital expenditure, stable cash flows from existing operations will continue to support credit profiles. However, it said that profitability of hospitals could see some pressure due to regulatory interventions, and they are expected to cope by adjusting cost and pricing structures. Adding further, it revealed that the number of people covered by health insurance has nearly doubled to 42 crore in the past three fiscals. It also noted that large corporate chains with over Rs 400 crore revenue are expected to see increasing capacity by 25% between fiscals 2018 and 2019, entailing an investment of Rs 5,000 crore.

The rating agency further said that credit profiles of hospital firms are likely to stable despite large capex, backed by strong demand growth, stable cash flows from existing beds, and strengthening of business profiles through geographical diversification.  It noted that prudent funding mix and longer loan-repayment tenure will further support credit profiles amid large capex. It pointed out that another factor that supports credit profiles is the measured approach that corporate chains take when undertaking capex to enter new markets.

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