Bond yields dipped amidst the growing caution ahead of the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) mid-quarterly policy review, to be released later in the day. The consensus view is that central bank will bring down the key short-term lending rate or repo rate by at least 0.25 percentage points to 7.75 per cent, and may even lower the cash reserves ratio (CRR) by up to 1 percentage point.
On the global front, benchmark US Treasury bonds dropped in Asia on Monday after pro-bailout parties won Greek elections, a step seen as key in holding the euro zone together. Meanwhile, Brent oil hit a one-week high above $99 a barrel on Monday after a victory for Greece's pro-bailout political parties revived risk appetite.
Back home, the yields on 10-year benchmark 8.79% - 2021 were trading 2 basis points lower at 8.32% from its previous close of 8.34% on Friday.
The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps fell 1 basis point to 7.15% from its previous close of 7.16%.
Meanwhile, six state governments announced an Auction of State Development Loans 2022 for Rs 4450.00 crore on June 19, 2012.
Additionally, five State Governments, namely, Andhra Pradesh, Jharkhand, Haryana, Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh announced Auction of State Development Loans 2022 for Rs 3950.00 crore on June 19, 2012.
Post RBI’s Mid-Quarterly Policy Review:
The yields on 10-year benchmark 8.79% - 2021 rose to a session high of 8.47%, marking a three-week high after RBI stunning the markets left interest rates and the CRR untouched.
However, the announcement that RBI would continue to inject liquidity conditions via further OMOs could cap further falls in bond prices. Meanwhile, RBI to further augment liquidity and encourage banks to increase credit flow to the export sector, increased the limit of export credit refinance from 15% of outstanding export credit of banks to 50% in its mid-quarter monetary policy review. A move, which will potentially release additionally liquidity of over Rs 300 billion, equivalent to about 50 basis points reduction in the CRR.
Furthering the over two-year-old anti-inflationary posture, RBI, shockingly this time around also preferred to sacrifice growth over inflation and left the key CRR and policy repo rate untouched at 4.75% and 8% respectively
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