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Bank’s credit provisions likely to surge to Rs 2.6 lakh crore in FY18: ICRA

28 Nov 2017 Evaluate

Credit ratings agency, ICRA in its latest report has said that the overall credit provisioning for banks is expected to surge to Rs 2.4-2.6 lakh crore in the financial year 2018 as compared to Rs 2 lakh crore in the previous year, mainly due to provisioning for Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) accounts and ageing of Non-performing assets (NPAs). Besides, it pointed out that increase in provisioning would lead to higher losses for public sector banks (PSBs) during the year.

The rating agency indicated that during July-September quarter (Q2FY18), bank’s provisions jumped to Rs 64,500 crore, up by 40 percent on a sequential basis and 30 percent on a year-on-year basis. It also said that with the recent amendments in IBC, the likelihood of the higher losses and a further increase in credit provisions appears to be a possibility. It expects that the asset quality pain is likely to continue in the near-term with nearly Rs 1.7 lakh crore of standard restructured advances. It also expects that the gross non-performing assets (GNPA) of Rs 8.8-9 lakh crore or 10-10.2 percent to peak out by end of FY18 as against GNPAs of Rs 7.65 lakh crore or 9.5 percent as on March 31, 2017.

As per the report, PSBs are positioned weakly on their capital ratios with seven PSBs (out of 21) and 12 PSBs below the regulatory minimum capital level required for March 2017 and March 2018 respectively. It stated that with the challenges of meeting capital levels, the PSBs continue to refrain from growing advances, which is reflected in a year-on-year growth of less than 1 percent in advances of PSBs even as the private sector banks continue to achieve a higher year-on-year growth of 17.2 percent as on September 30, 2017. It also expects the scope of a further cut in deposit rates to be limited, even as the cost of deposits will continue to decline upon re-pricing of fixed deposits, which, coupled with competitive pressure, may drive a marginal cut in lending rates.

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