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Disinvestment drive, GST rollout to reduce pressure on the fiscal math: Ind-Ra

28 Nov 2017 Evaluate

Soothing some concerns of rise in fiscal deficit, credit rating agency, India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has said that the reform initiatives like disinvestment drive and implementation of Goods and Services Tax (GST) will reduce pressure on the fiscal math of the country, in line with the government’s commitment to achieve the fiscal deficit of 3.2% for fiscal 2018.

As per the report, successful subscription of Bharat 22 Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is helping the government meet its ambitious Rs 72,500 crore disinvestment target for the current fiscal and as of November 24, 2017, the government has raised in excess of Rs 52,300 crore. The rating agency also expressed confidence of good returns from the divestment strategy in the future, and mentioned that the divestment strategy has a potential to generate Rs 1 trillion and also provide buffer against lower surplus transferred by the Reserve Bank and the likely shortfall from the telecom sector.

It further stated that even though there can be an adverse impact of Rs 11,000 crore on the Central finances due to a commitment of a 14 per cent revenue sharing with the state from central GST to meet their projected shortfall, the final results will not be so bad. It further expects improvement in revenue collection and return filing compliance following GST implementation.

The report found that front-loading of capex is slowing down after witnessing faster capex growth in the initial months of FY18 and there will be no need of any additional budgetary allocation in FY18 for proposed bank recapitalisation and Bharatmala Pariyojana. Further, it suggested that expected revenue shortfall can be covered by higher non-debt capital receipts, noting that this will not create fiscal space for additional spending.

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