Backed by improvement in major indicators, such as auto production, coal output and rail freight growth, credit rating agency, ICRA in its monthly review on Indian Economy, has said that the growth in the index of industrial production (IIP) is expected to rebound in November after hitting a three-month low of 2.2% in October this year.
The ratings agency’s monthly review which is based on analysis of 16 volume-based indicators said that they all have recorded a year-on-year (Y-o-Y) expansion in November 2017. Out of 16, 10 indicators improved sequentially in November 2017, while several of the remaining indicators displayed a base effect-led moderation in the pace of Y-o-Y growth. As per report, auto production surged to a 38-month high of 19.0% in November 2017 from 2.2% in October 2017, on the back of improved growth rate of two wheelers, passenger vehicles (PV) and commercial vehicles (CV) industry.
The report found that hydro electricity generation and rail freight grew to 9.6% and 3.1% in November, as against October’s figures of 3.7% and 2.6, respectively. Following the same trend, non-oil merchandise exports came out of negative zone, by rising to +28.2% in November from -3.3% in previous month, while growth in cargo handled at major ports rose to 4.8% from 3.4%. However, the report noted slowdown in the growth of coal output, thermal electricity generation, domestic airlines passengers, bank deposits, petrol consumption and in ATF consumption.
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