SBI’s manufacturing index shows marginal improvement on annual basis

27 Dec 2017 Evaluate

Amid the worries of GST rollout weighing down the manufacturing sector, the State Bank of India’s (SBI’s) Composite Index, an indicator of manufacturing activity that helps estimate periods of contraction and expansion, has showed that Indian manufacturing activity in December improved marginally over the previous month taken over a yearly period, while the index fell more sharply on a monthwise comparison.

The SBI Composite Index has mainly two indices - SBI Monthly Composite Index and SBI Yearly Composite Index. As per the data, the annual SBI Composite Index rose to 53.1 in December compared to 53 in the previous month, while the month-on-month index declined to 50.6, showing low growth in the month compared to 51.2 in November. This indicates a possible slowdown in IIP growth in the next couple of months.

The SBI Research said that a consistent negative (positive) month-on-month forecast in the index will lead to negative (positive) growth rate in year-on-year index after a while. Though, it also said that it believe even though the momentum may have slowed down, the outlook for some of the sectors appear largely positive.

It further added that one such sector is the fertilizer sector, as the financials of the 26 fertilizer companies reported an improvement in operations in terms of operational and post-tax growth in the first half of the fiscal. The bottom line of the sector grew by 34 per cent, while the top line grew by only 2 per cent. The new project announcement in the fertilizer sector is showing an upward trend with 13 projects in FY14 to 34 projects in FY17 entailing an investment of Rs 23,614 crore in FY17 from Rs 10,172 crore in FY14. This indicates some renewed interest in the sector.


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