The global ratings agency, Moody’s Investors Service in its latest report has said that the government’s ambitious plan to infuse Rs 2.11 lakh crore capital over the next two years into public sector banks (PSBs) is likely to help narrow the gap between the capital profiles of Indian public and private sector banks. Besides, Moody’s Indian affiliate, ICRA pointed that the deterioration in asset quality -- in terms of gross non-performing assets (GNPAs) are likely to peak by the end of FY2018, but elevated levels of provisioning on these NPAs will continue to negatively affect the banks until fiscal 2019.
The US-based agency, Moody’s believed that the capital infusion will also help public sector banks build their provisioning coverage ratios as they will be able to allocate much of their operating profits towards loan-loss provisioning without having to worry about the impact on their capital positions. It also pointed out that state-run banks' weak capital profile is their key credit weakness in comparison to their peers in the private sector. It highlighted that the average common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio of rated PSBs as on September 2017, stood at 8.7% compared with that of 12.2% of rated private banks.
Moody’s further said that the package will facilitate the two key policy initiatives of non-performing loan (NPL) resolution and Basel III implementation. Apart from this, it noted that the move will also strengthen the government's bargaining position for pushing through some of its more fundamental reforms, such as those targeting corporate governance and industry consolidation.
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