Pointing that the Gujarat verdict and upcoming polls will have a “significant” impact on economic policymaking in the near future, credit rating agency ICRA has said that the narrower-than-expected win in Gujarat and upcoming polls in other states will lead to a reorientation of priorities for the government with a greater focus expected on the farm and small businesses sectors.
The head of a domestic rating agency Naresh Takkar said that “Gujarat was surprisingly difficult. The kind of hold which the PM and the BJP have over Gujarat, they may like to interpret the results more deeply”. He said “they still have 18 months, so the government should be in a position to re-orient its priorities. It is committed to reviving the economy and reforms, but the political outlook, (of) which they will have a better understanding now, they would re-balance their priorities”.
Takkar further said that the increased spends which it may entail will have repercussions on fiscal deficit and the government may go for relaxed targets in the upcoming budget. He said that “There is going to be a pressure. They may start looking at fiscal (deficit) not as a hard-coded number but have some kind of a band within which they would like to operate rather than sticking to a headline number”.
He also warned that spending may have some inflationary impact, and rising commodity and oil prices will only aggravate the issue and said that because of such policies they should expect a prolonged pause from the Reserve Bank in its rates stance and there will not be any softening in lending rates.
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