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Moody’s flags concern over growing delinquencies in affordable housing segment

09 Jan 2018 Evaluate

Even as the government is giving a strong push to the affordable housing segment, the global credit rating agency, Moody’s Investors Service and its Indian arm ICRA in a joint report have flagged anxiety about the growing delinquencies in this segment, which are expected to continue in the calendar year 2018. It pointed out that factors like intensifying competition-- resulting in some easing in lending standards and a higher share of lending to the self-employed segment are the key reasons for the build-up of stress in the segment.

The report has indicated that while asset quality remains robust in the traditional housing segment, the non-performing assets in the affordable housing segment have inched up in recent times to around 1.8% on an average as of September 2017. It noted that the average cum 90+ days past due level for affordable housing was nearly seven times the level observed for traditional housing loan pools. Besides, it highlighted that the government is targeting to ensure that there is a house for all by 2022 and has provided a lot of incentives for the affordable housing segment, including making it as a priority sector lending for banks and huge interest subvention and direct cash subsidy. However, it said that housing loans continue to be seen as the best performing retail loan asset class in the country, demonstrating low and stable delinquencies over the years, in 2018.

The rating agency further said that this is possible because of the underlying collateral, which is self-occupied residential property, absence of steep correction in property prices and moderate loan to value ratios. It noted that introduction of the goods and services tax (GST) in July 2017 and demonetization have placed stress on the small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) sector. It added that the impact of demonetisation and new tax regime implementation will lead to higher delinquencies in asset-backed securities (ABS) for loans against property (LAP) to SMEs. However, it said auto ABS-backed by commercial vehicles loans will remain stable on the back of healthy domestic economic growth.

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