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India to grow at 7.4% in 2018, 7.8% in 2019: IMF

23 Jan 2018 Evaluate

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) has projected that India will grow at 7.4% in 2018 as against China’s 6.8%, making it the fastest growing country among emerging economies following last year's slowdown due to demonetisation and the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST). It has also projected a 7.8% growth rate for India in 2019.

As per WEO, the aggregate growth forecast for the emerging markets and developing economies for 2018 and 2019 is unchanged, with marked differences in the outlook across regions. Emerging and developing Asia will grow at around 6.5% over 2018-19, broadly the same pace as in 2017 and added that the region continues to account for over half of world growth. The IMF said that growth is expected to moderate gradually in China (though with a slight upward revision to the forecast for 2018 and 2019 relative to the fall forecasts, reflecting stronger external demand), pick up in India, and remain broadly stable in the ASEAN-5 region.

According to the report, in the year gone by, China (6.8%) was ahead of India (6.7%), giving China the tag of being the fastest growing emerging economies, as has been the case for major parts of the past several decades. Notably, with a growth rate of 7.1%, India was the fastest growing country among emerging economies in the year 2016. But, India’s economy slowed down a little bit to 6.7% in 2016, due to the demonetisation in late 2016 and implementation of the GST. In 2017, India’s growth rate dropped to 6.7%.

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