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US markets closed lower as investors fret over rising yields

08 Feb 2018 Evaluate

The US markets closed lower on Wednesday, after failing to defend intraday gains as investors struggled to adjust to an investment environment marked by both rising bond yields and signs of inflation. The market’s move south coincided with a spike in the 10-year Treasury yield in the wake of the news of a two-year budget deal announced by top senators that would significantly raise fiscal spending. Congressional leaders reached an agreement on a two-year budget pact that would increase fiscal spending by $300 billion on the back of a big increase in military spending. The deal, which still needs to be approved by the Congress, is at least likely to put to rest fears of another government shutdown. Separately, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said there is a hint of inflationary pressure in recent economic reports but not many actual increases in consumer prices. As such, the central bank can hold off raising rates until midyear or so in order to assess the incoming inflation data. Evans is not a voting member of the Fed’s interest-rate committee this year and he has been a leading dove among his colleagues.

On the economy front, consumer borrowing remained strong in December although slower than the torrid pace seen in the prior month. Total consumer credit increased $18.4 billion in December to a record seasonally adjusted $3.84 trillion, posting an annual growth rate of 5.8%. This was down from a revised $31 billion rate in the prior month. The prior two months were revised higher by $5.5 billion. Revolving credit, like credit cards, rose 6% in December, less than half the 13% pace seen in November. Revolving credit is $1.03 trillion, the highest on record. Non-revolving credit, typically auto and student loans, rose 5.7% in December after an 8.6% rise in the prior month. In the fourth quarter, consumer credit rose at a 7.7% annual rate, the strongest quarter of the year. For all of 2017, consumer credit rose at a 5.4% rate, down from a 6.7% rate in the prior year. Most of the slowdown was in non-revolving credit. The data does not include mortgage debt.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 19.42 points or 0.08 percent to 24,893.35, the Nasdaq dropped 63.898 points or 0.90 percent to 7,051.98, the S&P 500 edged lower by 13.48 points or 0.50 percent to 2,681.66.


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