A joint study by the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and the Indian Banks’ Association (IBA) has indicated that the India’s financial conditions index stood at 53.2 for Q4 (January-March) of 2017-18 as against 65.3 in the previous quarter, thereby registering a significant fall of 12.1 points. However, the joint study noted that on a year-on-year basis, the index has shown an improvement of 5 points in Q4FY18. Besides, it showed that two other sub-indices, viz. the external financial linkages index and economic activity index have improved during the quarter, while there has been a compression in the cost of funds index.
CII-IBA mentioned that among the sub-indices, the external financial linkages index has recorded the highest contribution followed by economic activity index. It also explained that within external financial linkages index, the respondents are very optimistic about the increase in foreign exchange reserve and expectation of increase in the money mobilisation through the ECBs, FCCBs, ADRs and GDRs. The report further stated that the respondents are also quite optimistic about the increase in net capital inflows and it also pointed out that total assets of the respondents are around Rs 68 lakh crore. It highlighted that the economic activity index recorded a value of 62.5, which was the second highest. Besides, it said that the increase in economic activity index is supported by the expected increase in non-food bank credit and growth in real GDP. It added that the growth in real GDP recorded a value of 83 and non-food bank credit recorded a value of 90, both higher than the previous quarter.
According to CII-IBA, a total of 29 banks and financial institutions participated in the survey that includes 11 public sector banks, 5 private sector banks, 2 foreign banks, 2 co-operative banks, and 9 non- banking financial companies. Commenting on the Index results for Q4FY18, Chairman of Indian Banks' Association (IBA) and MD & CEO, Allahabad Bank Usha Ananthasubramanian has said that overall index reading is optimistic about the financial sector though the cost of fund index has contracted significantly. She also pointed out that with inflation apprehension looming large coupled with drying up of excess liquidity from the system, the room for rate action from the central bank does not exist.
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