Terming Indian economy as credible, the World Bank in its latest biannual publication has projected the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth at 7.3% for the next fiscal year 2018-19 (FY19) and added that growth will accelerate further to 7.5% in FY20. It said that growth will be supported by private consumption, investment, and exports. It also foresees that Indian economy will grow at the rate of 6.7% in the current fiscal year 2017-18 (FY18).
The report titled ‘India Development Update: India's Growth Story’ has observed that a growth of over 8% will require continued reform and a widening of their scope aimed at resolving issues related to credit and investment, and enhancing competitiveness of exports. It also said that the country’s GDP growth saw a temporary dip in the last two quarters of FY17 and the first quarter of FY18 due to demonetisation and disruptions surrounding the initial implementation of Goods and Services Tax (GST). It added that the Indian economy is expected to recover from the demonetisation and GST impact, and growth should revert slowly to a level consistent with its proximate factors -- that is, to about 7.5% a year.
The report further stated that India’s long-term growth has become more steady, stable, diversified and resilient. In the long-run, for higher growth to be sustainable and inclusive, India needs to use land and water, which are increasingly becoming scarce resources, make growth more inclusive and strengthen its public sector to meet challenges of a fast growing, globalizing and increasingly middle-class economy. However, it pointed out that financial markets’ liquidity may tighten, which may pose certain short-run risks for the economy. Besides, if investment, exports, credit do not gain sufficient momentum, it may not do much to accelerate GDP growth.
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