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Indian economy likely to grow at 7.2% in 2018: UN Report

09 Apr 2018 Evaluate

The United Nations (UN) in its latest report ‘the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2018’ has said that Indian economy is likely to accelerate from 6.7 per cent in 2017 to 7.2 per cent in 2018 and 7.4 per cent in 2019. The report also indicated that the country’s outlook remains largely positive with robust private consumption, public investment and ongoing structural reforms.

The report noted that some South Asian economies, notably India, are implementing tax reforms to strengthen their tax revenues, but further efforts are needed to significantly improve the capacity to implement counter-cyclical policies across the region. It also highlighted the India’s intensifying policy efforts to attract FDI. However, it said that the anaemic performance of private investment remains a key macroeconomic concern for the country. It found that the share of Gross fixed capital formation in GDP got decreased to less than 30% in 2017 from about 40% in 2010, on the back of subdued credit growth, low capacity utilization in some industrial sectors and balance sheet problems in the banking and corporate sectors and in view of this, it expressed need of vigorous public investment to boost overall investment growth.

On monetary policy front, UN is expecting some degree of uncertainty over the monetary policy stance in India and added that subdued inflation and good monsoon season offers scope for additional monetary easing. Besides, the report said that strong demand for oil is expected from the world’s three largest energy consumers - China, India and the United States.

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