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India can attain 8% growth on reframing exports, investment parameter: ADB

16 Apr 2018 Evaluate

Asian Development Bank (ADB) has said India will able to attain a growth of 8 percent in a significant manner if the country is able to reframe its investment parameter and make its exports competitive. Efforts will also have to be made to rationalize agriculture marketing as this is the area where there is scope for more reforms. Earlier, ADB in its Asian Development Outlook, 2018 expects India’s growth to pick up to 7.3 per cent in current fiscal and accelerate further to 7.6 per cent in the next financial year.

Referring to exports, ADB said India is still a marginal player in global trade and there is a lot of potential to increase exports. While mentioning investments, ADB said credit to infrastructure and industry is rising, which is a constructive signal. But clearly a lot more needs to be done if the investment has to pick up. In addition, ADB elaborated on the reform scope in farm sector that the government could revamp the Agricultural Produce Market Committee (APMC) Act and restructure the farm supply chain for free movement of goods.

ADB said India can even achieve double digit growth but only if it can do that over a longer term period given the state of infrastructure and regulatory policies. Moreover, a lot more reforms would probably be needed for that as well. Moreover, India can reap benefits by improving competitiveness, as Chinese exports are becoming expensive because of rising wages. For that, India needs to improve its Ease of Doing Business and state of infra to benefit from trade and be better integrated into the value chain.

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