Citing weak fiscal position and lack of structural factors, global ratings agency, Fitch Ratings has retained ‘BBB-’ rating, the lowest investment grade, with a stable outlook for India. This rating was assigned to the country 11 years ago. Besides, the rating agency has forecasted the country’s economic growth at 7.3% for the current fiscal year 2018-19 (FY19) and said that growth will accelerate to 7.5% in FY20. For year ended March 31, 2017, the gross domestic product (GDP) growth is projected at 6.7%.
Fitch Ratings has said that the India’s rating balances a strong medium-term growth outlook and favourable external balances with weak fiscal finances and some lagging structural factors, including governance standards and a still-difficult, but improving, business environment. It added that the Stable Outlook reflects Fitch’s assessment that upside and downside risks to the ratings are broadly balanced.
The rating agency further said that the country’s fiscal finances are weak but current account deficit position is favourable. It also said per capita GDP is the lowest among ‘BBB’ range peers and continued structural reform implementation should enhance productivity. It added that India has the highest medium-term growth potential among the largest emerging markets.
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