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Indian economy gradually recovering from note ban, GST shocks: Ind-Ra

10 May 2018 Evaluate

With improving major macro parameters like manufacturing, capital goods production, non-food credit and consumption, the credit rating agency, India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has said that the Indian economy is gradually recovering from note ban and Goods and Service Tax (GST) shocks, which temporarily derailed growth.

The rating agency noted that the country may grow at 7.4% in the current financial year, if things continue to improve like they are improving now and the policy remains conducive. It further said that it was unlikely that the government would go ahead with big bang reforms due to the 2019 Lok sabha elections.

However, Ind-Ra expressed concern over the possible widening of the current account deficit (CAD), on the back of rising oil prices which was creating pressure on the currency. It also said that if the CAD remained within 3%, then it would not be alarming for the economy provided capital inflows were in excess of outflows caused by high oil import bill and the rupee will have an appreciating bias.

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