Pointing that Indian government’s planned capital infusions are enough to resolve the regulatory capital needs of 21 state-run banks, Global ratings agency Moody’s Investors Service in its latest report said that the recapitalization plan however will not be sufficient to support credit growth.
The report further estimated that the planned infusion of Rs 65,000 crore will help all PSBs meet the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratios exceeding the 8% minimum, by March 2019 and added that however, this development assumes overall credit growth for the PSBs of a modest 6-8% in this fiscal year.
Moody's further noted that capital shortfalls in PSBs are larger than the scale that the government had expected when it had announced the recapitalisation in October 2017, on the back of banks failure in raising additional capital from the market and it may be difficult for the banks to raise more capital on the substantial decline in their share prices. The ratings agency also said that the weak financial performance and a sharp increase in government bond yields have deteriorated the capacity of these PSBs to generate internal capital, which hurt their investment income.
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