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Gross NPA of banks likely to surge to 12.2% by March 2019: RBI

27 Jun 2018 Evaluate

Indicating continuous stress in the banking sector due to the gross non-performing advances (GNPA), the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its latest ‘June 2018 Financial Stability Report’ has said that bad loans of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) are likely to surge to 12.2% by March 2019 from 11.6% level seen in March 2018. The reports also noted that declining profitability added pressure on SCBs’ regulatory capital ratios, while the provision coverage ratio has increased.

According to the report, 11 public sector banks under prompt corrective action framework (PCA PSBs) are expected to experience a worsening of their GNPA ratio from 21.0% in March 2018 to 22.3% by March 2019, with six PCA PSBs likely experiencing capital shortfall relative to the required minimum CRAR of 9%. It also pointed that the system-level capital to risk-weighted assets ratio (CRAR) may come down from 13.5% to 12.8% during the period.

However, the report further highlighted that the government’s capital augmentation plan will help in addressing the potential capital shortfall and will also drive credit growth at healthier banks. Besides, the report said that the Reserve Bank’s PCA framework, by preventing further capital erosion at weaker banks, is intended to help strengthen these banks to a point of resilience from where they can restart normal operations. Further it added that governance reforms - If undertaken promptly and well - would not only improve the financial performance of the banking sector but also help reduce operational risks.


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