Citing high oil prices and faster-than-anticipated monetary policy tightening due to higher expected inflation, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) update has trimmed India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) projection by 0.1 percentage point to 7.3% for 2018 as against 7.4% forecasted earlier. Earlier, it also projected that the economy to grow 7.8% by 2019, but now the projection stood at 7.5%, lower by 0.3 percentage points.
However, IMF said that growth will rise from the 6.7% in 2017 as the drag in the currency exchange initiative and the introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) fades. It noted that India is still the fastest growing economy, well ahead of 6.6% and 6.4% growth for China.
As per the report, among emerging market and developing economies, growth prospects are also becoming more uneven, amid rising oil prices, higher yields in the United States, escalating trade tensions, and market pressures on the currencies of some economies with weaker fundamentals. Besides, forecast for global growth remains unchanged at 3.9% with oil producers gaining at the expense of consumers.
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