Amid higher oil prices and a falling rupee, an international organization, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its latest report has said that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will need to gradually tighten monetary policy further, in order to keep inflation in check.
IMF expects average inflation to rise to 5.2% in 2018/19 from a 17-year low of 3.6% in the previous fiscal year. The international organization also pointed factors like pick up in domestic demand and recent hike in procurement prices of major crops by the government, which had contributed to inflationary pressures.
The international organization further said that tightening of policy will help to build monetary credibility. Moreover, as per the report, global crude oil prices are expected to average $72 a barrel in 2018/19, up from its earlier forecast of $62.
Recently, RBI in its third bi-monthly monetary policy review of 2018-19, has hiked repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) by 25 basis points (bps) to 6.50%. Consequently, the reverse repo rate under the LAF stands adjusted to 6.25%, and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the Bank Rate to 6.75%.
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