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Provisioning pressures on banking industry may reduce in FY19: ICRA

29 Aug 2018 Evaluate

Rating agency ICRA in its latest report has said that pressure of provisioning for bad loans on the banking industry is likely to reduce in current financial (FY19) over the previous year.  The agency underlined that the credit provisions for public sector banks (PSBs) are estimated at Rs 1.4-2 trillion for FY19, assuming 60-65% provisioning requirements on accounts to be resolved and normal slippages of about 3%. This estimate is nearly half of the actual provisioning level of Rs 2.71 trillion, seen by PSBs in FY18.

ICRA further expects the credit provisions for private banks to reduce to Rs 225-333 billion in FY19 as compared to Rs 503 billion in FY18. Additionally, it said that ‘With ongoing resolution of stressed assets, despite fresh slippages, we expect GNPAs and NNPAs for the banking sector are likely to reduce to Rs 10% and 4.3% respectively by March 2019, the same may be higher at 12.2% and 5.6% respectively in absence of resolution’.

Besides, agency highlighted that fresh slippages for the banking sector during Q1 of the current fiscal moderated to Rs 920 billion as compared to Rs 2.44 trillion during Q4FY18 and Rs 5.37 trillion during FY18. Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPAs) for the sector declined for the first time after witnessing a consistent increase in the last 18 quarters. The GNPAs declined to Rs 10 trillion as on June 30, 2018, or 11.52% as compared to Rs 10.23 trillion, or 11.68% as on March 31.

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