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Banks' credit costs likely to remain elevated in FY19-FY20: Ind-Ra

18 Sep 2018 Evaluate

Maintaining a stable outlook on private sector banks, credit rating agency, India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has said that banks' credit costs are likely to remain elevated at 2%-3% during FY19-FY20, on the back of ageing of non-performing assets (NPAs), accelerated provisioning and slippages especially from non-corporate accounts.

The rating agency also kept a stable outlook on two large public sector banks (PSBs) namely State Bank of India and Bank of Baroda and kept a negative outlook for the remaining PSBs. It further said that the prevailing stressed financial conditions could intensify credit tightening, on rising headwinds for credit availability & cost, which could impact Rs 3 trillion - Rs 4 trillion exposures. As per the agency, large non-banking financial companies and private banks may get an opportunity from this to expand their share with some of these accounts and risk in terms of liquidity, given the capital conservation by the PSBs, especially those under prompt corrective action.

According to the report, issuances of corporate bond rose to Rs 27.5 trillion in FY18, on benign interest rates and availability of supply from mutual funds. In a tightening interest rate scenario, the agency expects some of this growth to accrue towards the corporate bank loan segment (particularly highly rated corporates). Even in the corporate segment, Ind-Ra expects some shift in the loan book to well capitalised banks from weaker banks during FY19.

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