Maintaining India’s growth forecast at 7.3% for 2018, an international development finance institution, Asian Development Bank (ADB) has said that the economy continues on a robust growth path and is likely to grow at 7.6% during 2019, as goods and services tax and demonetisation effects abate as expected.
ADB further noted that robust domestic demand and rising exports, particularly of manufactures, are helping to offset impact of rising oil prices. However, it pointed rupee fall and volatile external financial markets pose challenges for the country, as does accelerating inflation though tighter fiscal policy will help quell inflationary pressures.
In an update of its flagship annual economic publication, Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2018, ADB forecasted that growth across most of developing Asia remains stable, due to robust domestic demand, buoyant oil and gas prices, and a consolidation of India’s growth rebound. However, it also noted that the region’s resilience will be tested by escalating trade tensions.
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