India’s GDP growth at 8.2% despite uncertain global markets: PMEAC

08 Aug 2011 Evaluate

On downgrading of US sovereign rating from AAA to AA+ with a negative outlook, Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) Chairman C Rangarajan said, this will negatively impact country’s exports as US is the biggest market and moderate capital flows into the country but overall economic growth will remain robust at 8.2 percent.

This downgrading of the US will have adverse impact on the country’s trade flow and capital flow as the slow pace of recovery in the United States would affect the demand for the goods and the capital movement across the borders. “Slow growth of the US and Europe will have some adverse affect on the Indian exports, particularly on export of services”, C Rangarajan said. By adding further he said, 'Uncertainty in the world can also result in less capital flow to the developing economies like India. However, I think the US will not lapse into recession. It will grow at 1.5 percent in this calender year.”

PMEAC Chairman believes that the Indian economy will grow around 8.2 percent despite the uncertainty in the global economy. Earlier, Finance Minister also said that the downgrading of US sovereign rating will have some implications on India, but there is no need to press panic button as fundamentals of the economy remains strong.

Last week, rating agency Standard and Poor's (S&Ps), for the first time in history reduced the credit rating of the US from AAA to AA+, this development is likely to affect the investors’ confidence in the US Economy.  The rating agency also said that predictability about US policy making and political institutions have weakened at a time of fiscal challenge. However, US Treasury official said that the decision of S&P, was flawed.

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