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GDP growth for Q2FY19 likely to dip to 7.2% on sluggish economy: Icra

21 Nov 2018 Evaluate

Domestic rating agency Icra in its latest report has said that GDP growth for second quarter of current financial (Q2FY19) is expected to dip to 7.2% on account sluggishness in agriculture and industry. The fall in the growth number will be mainly due to a pull down from industry where growth is expected to slow down to 7.1% in the in second quarter as compared to 10.3% in first quarter and the farm sector, which may slow down to 3.5% from 5.3%. The GDP had grown by a higher than expected 8.2% in the first quarter of the current financial year as compared to the year-ago period.

The report further highlighted that higher fuel prices and the weak rupee were pointed out as the primary factors dragging the industrial growth, while an uneven and sub-par monsoon, flooding in some areas amid a late withdrawal of the monsoon rains, and instances of crop damage and pest attacks will impact the farm sector.

Besides, Icra’s principal economist Aditi Nayar stated that pre-tax margins for companies have declined on a quarter-on-quarter basis because of a rise in the input and energy costs and the rupee depreciation.  Moreover she added “Overall, we expect manufacturing GVA (gross value added) growth to ease to 7.0% in Q2FY19 from the healthy 13.5% expansion in Q1FY19”.

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