The fourth Crisidex survey, jointly undertaken by a rating agency Crisil and Small Industries Development Bank of India (SIDBI) has said that sentiment among micro and small enterprises (MSEs) was ‘largely intact’ in Q2 (Jul-Sept) of 2018-19 despite external headwinds in the form of higher crude prices and a depreciating rupee. The findings of the survey come amid heightened anxieties over the state of the micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME) sector, which also led the RBI board to accept the need for a special dispensation to support such businesses.
Six out of ten lenders surveyed saw an improvement in the overall business situation of MSMEs and three out of 10 rated it as satisfactory, compared with four out of 10 each for positive and satisfactory last quarter. For the next quarter, nine out of 10 lenders keep a ‘positive outlook’ for MSMEs. However, when it comes to asset quality, the lenders are not as optimistic, with six of the ten lenders expecting the NPAs ratios to be unchanged, one expecting an increase and three believing it will decrease. The Crisidex score stood at 124, which is a notch below the 127 for the preceding June quarter, but above the 121 in March or 107 in December 2017 quarter.
According to Crisidex survey, both in manufacturing and services, nearly 40 percent of them indicated a significant improvement in activity and companies in both the sectors expect the October-December period to be a better quarter. It also said that half of the respondents each from manufacturing and services sectors expect positive momentum to continue in the next quarter. It also pointed out that auto components, engineering and capital goods, and metals and mining, healthcare, power and utilities and travel and hotels are the most optimistic.
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