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India to add 10,000 Mw of renewable energy generation capacity in FY20: ICRA

12 Dec 2018 Evaluate

The rating agency ICRA in its latest report has said that India will add 10,000 Megawatt (Mw) of renewable energy (RE) generation capacity in the next fiscal ending March 2020, with the share of RE in the overall generation mix growing across India. It indicated that the share of renewables in the overall generation mix has increased to 7.8 percent in FY18 from 5.6 percent in FY15, largely due to the large-sized capacity addition in the wind and solar power segments during this period, driven by policy support from central and state governments as well as the significantly improved tariff competitiveness of wind and solar power vis-a-vis conventional power sources. Besides, it has maintained a year-end stable outlook for the sector.

According to the report, the project awards by the central nodal agencies and state distribution utilities in 2017 and 2018 (year-to- date) provide a reasonably healthy visibility for RE capacity addition in FY19 and FY20 with expected addition of about 9,000 MW in FY2019 and about 10,000 MW in FY2020. It also said that this is expected to increase the share of RE in the all India generation to 10 percent by FY20 and further to 13 percent by FY22 based on capacity addition forecasts. However, it said that RE sector especially wind and solar segments remain exposed to near-term challenges arising due to cost impact of safeguard duty and rising interest rate, coupled with transmission network availability.

ICRA further said that the average bid tariffs discovered in the auctions for wind and solar power projects in 2018 has so far remained at Rs 2.6-2.7 per unit, increasing slightly from the low of Rs 2.4 per unit. It noted that this uptrend in bid tariffs was partly driven by factors such as cost headwinds arising from rising interest rates, increase in capital costs due to imposition of taxes and duties, a weak rupee against dollar for imported equipment, and rising equipment costs.

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