CSO pegs India’s economic growth at 7.2% for FY19

08 Jan 2019 Evaluate

The Central Statistics Office (CSO), under Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, in its First Advance Estimates of National Income, 2018-19, has stated that India’s economic growth is expected to grow at 7.2% in the current fiscal year (FY19), a tad higher from 6.7% in the previous fiscal, mainly due to improvement in the performance of agriculture and manufacturing sectors. Though, the growth estimate is bit lower than 7.4% growth projected by the Reserve Bank for FY19. The gross domestic product (GDP) had expanded by 7.1% in 2016-17 and 8.2% in 2015-16.

As per the data, real GDP at Constant Prices (2011-12) in the year 2018-19 is likely to attain a level of Rs 139.52 lakh crore, as against the Provisional Estimate of GDP for the year 2017-18 of Rs 130.11 lakh crore, released on May 31, 2018. Real GVA, i.e, GVA at Basic Constant Prices (2011-12) is anticipated to increase from Rs 119.76 lakh crore in 2017-18 to Rs 128.09 lakh crore in 2018-19. Anticipated growth of real GVA at Basic Prices in 2018-19 is 7.0% as against 6.5% in 2017-18.

Among the sectors, the expansion in activities in 'agriculture, forestry and fishing' is likely to increase to 3.8% in the current fiscal from 3.4% in the preceding year. The growth of the manufacturing sector is expected to accelerate to 8.3% this fiscal, up from 5.7% in 2017-18. However, the mining and quarrying sector growth rate is estimated to decline from 2.9% in 2017-18 to 0.8% in current fiscal. Trade, hotels, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting will too witness deceleration to 6.9% from 8% in the previous fiscal. The growth rate of public administration, defence and other services will also dip to 8.9% from 10% last fiscal.

Besides, electricity, gas, water supply & other utility services growth is estimated at 9.4% in 2018-19, up from 7.2% in the last fiscal. Similarly, the construction sector is expected to grow at 8.9% from 5.7% previous fiscal. Financial, real estate & professional services' growth will be a tad higher at 6.8% this fiscal against 6.6% in 2017-18.

The per capita net national income during 2018-19 will be Rs 1,25,397, showing a rise of 11.1% as compared to Rs 1,12,835 during 2017-18 with the growth rate of 8.6%. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF), a barometer of investment, at current prices is estimated at Rs 55.58 lakh crore in 2018-19 as against Rs 47.79 lakh crore in 2017-18. At Constant (2011-12) Prices, the GFCF is estimated at Rs 45.86 lakh crore in 2018-19 as against Rs 40.88 lakh crore in 2017-18. The Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE) at Current Prices is estimated at Rs 21.70 lakh crore in 2018-19 as against Rs 19.08 lakh crore in 2017-18. At Constant (2011-12) Prices, the GFCE is estimated at Rs 15.28 lakh crore in 2018-19 as against Rs 14.0 lakh crore in 2017- 18.

© 2026 The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved. MoneyWorks4Me ® is a registered trademark of The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd.

×