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Banks’ stressed corporate loans of Rs 3.5 lakh crore to remain unrecognized: Ind-Ra

06 Feb 2019 Evaluate

India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has warned that around Rs 3.5 lakh crore or 3.9 percent of the stressed corporate loans continue to remain unrecognised on the books of banks, while around Rs 1.5-2 lakh crore or 40 percent of them may slip into NPAs by September 2020. It indicated that as of September 2018, these accounts constitute the total stressed corporate exposure (interest coverage ratio of 1.5x) of 19.3 percent or Rs 13.5-14 lakh crore.

According to the report, banks have recognised only Rs 10 lakh crore out of the Rs 13.5-14 lakh crore stressed corporate loans as of September 2018. It also stated that banks may require an additional of Rs 40,000 crore in provisions for these Rs 1.5-2 lakh crore loans, which may become dud assets. It expects state-run banks would require incremental capital of about Rs 66,000 crore from the fourth quarter of FY19 through FY20, which is needed for a credit expansion of 10-11 percent in FY19 and FY20 each. However, it pointed out that this capital infusion is not adequate to cover the impact of Ind-AS which could be substantial.

Besides, the agency has maintained a stable outlook on large private sector banks and just two of the 19--State Bank of India and Bank of Baroda-and has retained a negative outlook for the remaining state-run banks till FY20. It said in FY20, all banks on which we have a stable outlook might see moderate write-backs of provisions on corporate assets, depending on the pace of resolutions.

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