India’s GDP growth set to pick up at 7.2% in 2019 on strengthening consumption: ADB

03 Apr 2019 Evaluate

Asian Development Bank (ADB) in its flagship report has said that India's Gross domestic product (GDP) growth is set to pick up at 7.2 percent in 2019, on the back of strengthening consumption. It also said that the country’s economy is also expected to clock a growth rate of 7.3 percent in 2020 as policy rates are cut and farmers receive income support, bolstering domestic demand.

According to the report, growth slowed to 7 percent in 2018 from 7.2 percent in fiscal 2017, with weaker agricultural output and consumption growth curtailed by higher global oil prices and lower government expenditure. It also said that sub-region wise, Southeast Asia will sustain growth at close to 5 percent this year and the next. It pointed out that strengthening domestic demand will offset weaker export growth. It added that strong consumption, spurred by rising incomes, subdued inflation, and robust remittances, should boost economic activity in the sub region.

ADB further said that export demand, on the other hand, is likely to soften in 2019 in line with the weaker global environment and a muted forecast for semiconductor exports, before picking up slightly in 2020. It also said that growth, overall, remains solid with domestic consumption strong or expanding in most economies around the region. This is softening the impact of slowing exports. It added that uncertainty clouding the outlook remains elevated.

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