Bond yields jumps with the spurt in the food inflation

11 Aug 2011 Evaluate

Pre Weekly Inflation Scenario:

Bond yields were trading quite flat on Thursday as the fall in the yields on account of lower crude oil prices and US treasury yields was counterbalanced by the fall in the bond prices as traders made room for Rs 12,000 crore debt sale due to be held on August 12, 2011. Meanwhile, traders also opted to stay on the sidelines ahead of the weekly food inflation data due to be released during the day, for further cues.

The yields on 10-year benchmark 7.80% - 2021 was trading a tad changed at 8.18% from its previous close of 8.19% on Wednesday.

 The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were trading at 6.75% from its previous closing of 6.91% on Wednesday.

The Government of India has announced the sale of three dated securities for Rs 12,000 crore on August 12, 2011, which includes, (i) “7.83% Government Stock 2018” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal), (ii) “7.80 percent Government Stock 2021” for a notified amount of Rs 6,000 crore (nominal) and (iii) “8.30 percent Government Stock 2040” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal) through price based auctions.

Post Weekly Inflation Scenario:

Prolonging the previous session uptrend, India’s food inflation measured by Wholesale Price Index (WPI) has spiked up at 4-1/2-month high of 9.90% for the week ended July 30 from 8.04% in the last week on the back of costlier onions, fruits, vegetables and protein-based items.

According to the data released by Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the index for Food Articles group rose by 1.6% to 195.3(Provisional)  from 192.2 for the previous week. More importantly, the index for primary articles group which has the highest weightage of 20.12% in WPI rose by 1.2% for the week at 199.3 (Provisional) from 196.9 in the previous week. Additionally, the index for Fuel & Power group which has the highest weightage of 14.91% in WPI rose by 0.1 percent to 165.7 (Provisional) from 165.6 for the previous week due to higher prices of lubricants (2%).

The yields on 10-year benchmark 7.80% - 2021 was trading higher at 8.24% from its previous close of 8.19% on Wednesday as acceleration in weekly food inflation renewed rate rise worries.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were trading lower at 6.85% from its previous closing of 6.91% on Wednesday.

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