Expressing hope that India will continue with its fiscal consolidation plan, Moody’s Investors Service has said that its credit view on the country will depend on policies of the new government. As per the trend, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will form the government at the Centre for the second successive term with absolute majority.
The US-based rating agency said any credit implications of the outcome of India's general election will be determined by the policies adopted by the government in the next few years. These policies are yet to be formulated. It expects the broad push towards fiscal consolidation to remain, although with greater policy emphasis on supporting low incomes.
Moody’s had upped India's rating to ‘Baa2’ from ‘Baa3’ in 2017, changing outlook to ‘stable’ from ‘positive’, and said reforms would help stabilise rising levels of debt. Besides, deviating from the fiscal consolidation path as per the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, the government in February's interim budget pegged the fiscal deficit for 2019-20 at 3.4% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), as against the original target of 3.1%. The fiscal deficit was 3.4% of GDP in 2018-19.
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