BJP's landslide victory likely to improve business sentiment, boost private investment: Fitch

24 May 2019 Evaluate

Fitch Ratings in its latest report has stated a landslide victory of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) marked an easing of political uncertainty and is expected to improve business sentiment and the outlook for private investment. From a credit rating perspective, it would focus on the extent of the next government's efforts to improve India's weak fiscal finances.

Although, the global rating agency expects the fiscal deficit to remain manageable in the next few years, but said it has seen ‘little indication’ so far that the government will pursue significant deficit reduction of the order needed to meet the general government debt ceiling of 60 percent of GDP by March 2025 as mandated by the FRBM Act. It noted that fiscal consolidation stalled under the BJP in recent years, and its campaign promise to support farmers' incomes has added to spending pressure.

Fitch expects the government to remain reform-minded, as the BJP's manifesto highlighted the aim to improve the business environment and governance standards, strengthen infrastructure, and stimulate the manufacturing sector through a new industrial policy. According to the report, another area of potential reforms is to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of government administration, and the legal and judiciary system.

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