A G-20 surveillance note has said that Indian economy is expected to grow 7.3% in 2019 and 7.5% in 2020. The note said recent manufacturing indicators point to a tentative rebound in Asian and Latin American countries except India. The note comes ahead of the G-20 finance ministers and central bank governors’ meetings on June 8-9. It has been prepared by International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff but does not necessarily reflect the views of the IMF Executive Board.
The note showed that in India, reforms to hiring and dismissal regulations would help incentivise formal job creation. It added that combined with an increase in female labour force participation, would help absorb the country’s large demographic dividend. In commodity exports, economic diversification remains essential for sustained strong growth.
It said global growth is projected to remain stable at around 3.6% but will rely on weights shifting toward countries with relatively higher growth rates, mainly G-20 emerging markets such as China and India. The April 2019 World Economic Outlook (WEO) revised down projections for global growth to 3.3% in 2019, 0.4 percentage points lower than projected in the October 2018 WEO.
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