Arvind Subramanian's GDP estimates exclude productivity, quality: CII

13 Jun 2019 Evaluate

Commenting on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates shown by former CEA Arvind Subramanian, the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) has said that growth estimates have excluded productivity and quality and are based on only volume. In a research paper, Subramanian has deduced that India’s economic growth rate has been overestimated by around 2.5 percentage points between 2011-12 and 2016-17 due to a change in methodology for calculating GDP.

CII has stated that the Indian economy is a complex one and cannot be captured by just a few indicators. He also said that GDP data has to take a more robust and comprehensive approach where all growth drivers are included. For instance, it said agriculture, which is one-sixth of the Indian economy, has not been included in the study.

Moreover, industry chamber said that the service sector, which accounts for more than 50% of GDP, has been inadequately represented. It also pointed out that specifically, IT and telecom sectors which have been the most dynamic parts of the economy in the recent years have been missed out while many infrastructure sectors like rural roads that have posted double-digit growth for several years are missing in the report.

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