Sugar production likely to decline by 14% to 28.2 MT in next marketing year: ISMA

01 Jul 2019 Evaluate

Industry body Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) has said that the country’s sugar production is likely to decline by 14% to 28.2 million tonne (MT) in the next marketing year (October-September), mainly due to fall in sugarcane acreage due to less rains in states like Maharashtra and Karnataka. It said this estimated production is based on assumption of normal rainfall and other optimum conditions. It added that sugar output is likely to be at 32.95 MT in the current 2018-19 marketing year. Mills have produced 32.8 MT of sugar till June and another 0.1-0.15 MT is expected during the next three months, taking the total output to 32.9-32.95 MT. The annual domestic demand is around 26.5 MT.

Based on the satellite images procured in the latter part of June 2019, the total acreage under sugarcane in the country is estimated to be around 49.31 lakh hectares in 2019-20, which is over 10% lower than 2018-19 sugar season's cane area of around 55.02 lakh hectares. As per ISMA estimates for the next marketing year 2019-20, sugar production in Uttar Pradesh is seen at around 12 MT, almost same as 11.82 MT in the current year.

The other major sugar producing state, Maharashtra's cane area has gone down by about 30% for 2019-20, mainly due to poor rainfall from September 2018 onwards, followed by low reservoir levels, which adversely affected sowing of 15 month and 12 month crops. Therefore, sugar production is estimated to decline at around 7 MT from 10.71 MT in 2018-19. ISMA said similar to Maharashtra, due to poor rainfall in cane growing areas, sugarcane area in Karnataka has also decreased for 2019-20. Sugar production in the state is estimated to fall at 3.5 MT from 4.36 MT in 2018-19.

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