Credit rating agency ICRA has said passenger vehicle (PV) sales in India may decline in the range of 4-7% in current financial year (FY20). It asserted that agricultural output, revival in economic and industrial growth would be critical for auto sector's growth despite recent government measures to rekindle demand. The auto industry has already registered a 21.6% plus de-growth in the first four months of FY20. The auto industry has been grappling with a tough time since the beginning of the second quarter of FY19 and growth has slowed down.
The agency highlighted that weak consumer sentiment across urban and rural markets on account of weak farm inflows, subdued agri-commodity prices, rising cost of ownership as a result of regulatory changes including safety, emissions, vehicle registration, along with a rise in interest cost/EMI, have impacted demand. Moreover, tight liquidity situation among financiers, banks and especially NBFC segment; revision in axle load norms, a slowdown in government spending on infrastructure and; uncertainty related to selection between BS-IV versus BS-VI among buyers, have also played roles in the slowdown.
Besides, on the two-wheelers front, it said growth will be contingent upon the introduction of BS VI across all models from April 1, 2020, which will lead to price increases across the industry. Therefore, the quantum of price hikes will be determined by the prevailing market sentiments and overall market dynamics.
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