No lift up in investments in near term as overcapacity pulls down need for expansion: Care Ratings

04 Sep 2019 Evaluate

Care Ratings in its latest report has said that the ongoing economic slowdown that India is witnessing may be because of weak investment growth. Two catalysts of investment - demand and availability of funds - have witnessed weak growth in the preceding months. Low capacity utilisation in most of the industries left them with surplus capacity and this surplus has pulled down the need for any more expansion. It also mentioned that the problems in the financial sector involving Non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) have affected the flow of funds and added to the worry.

The report also underlined that current financial year (FY20) may not see any major upward shift given the fairly low Image result for Gross domestic products (GDP) growth witnessed in Q1 FY20.  Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) rate, a measure of how much of GDP in a year has been accounted for by investment, has been rising very gradually from 28.2 per cent in FY17 to 28.6 per cent and 29.2 per cent in FY18 and FY19 respectively. However, it has declined for five successive years following FY12 when it was at 34.3%.

Investment in the corporate sector can be measured by the changes in gross fixed assets of companies. In FY19 for a set of 1405 companies, incremental GFA was Rs 4.84 lakh crore, out of which, only two companies accounted for 17.3 per cent of the total investments. Besides, the report stated that that the pace of investment would depend on how soon a healthy rural economy can be the starting point for consumption demand that will feedback to investment.


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