A joint study carried out by industry body Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (ASSOCHAM) and rating agency Crisil has stated that Indian banks' gross non-performing assets (NPAs) may come down slightly to Rs 9.1 lakh crore by the end of current fiscal (March 31, 2020) as against Rs 9.4 lakh crore as on March 31, 2019. It also said that there is a significant potential opportunity for stressed-assets investors, given around Rs 9.4 lakh crore NPAs in the banking system as on March 31, 2019. Of this, it said the corporate segment, which has seen active interest from most investors, is estimated to account for 70 percent.
According to the report, large stressed borrowers have debt aggregating to Rs 5.4 lakh crore, which is a huge playing field in itself for investors. Of the total, National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) list-1 and list-2 comprised around Rs 2.1 lakh crore and existing stock of NPAs comprised another Rs 2 lakh crore. It also noted that power, infrastructure and steel sectors together constitute about half of Rs 4.1 lakh crore worth stressed assets. It added that power sector accounts for the largest proportion, and resolution in this sector has not been significant.
The ASSOCHAM- Crisil study further stated that the revised stressed asset framework may benefit stressed power sector assets that were operational and on the verge of being referred to insolvency proceedings under Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) (estimated at Rs 1 lakh crore as on March 31, 2019). It also said Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) resolution framework on recognizing bad loans and the IBC have paved the way for attracting investors into the stressed-assets space and helped speed up resolution, ironing out issues regarding legal aspects and resolution timelines will be critical to boost investor confidence.
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