Care Ratings in its latest report has revised its outlook for overall automobile sales (excluding tractors) to 5-7 percent for the current financial year (FY20), on the back of factors like higher vehicle prices, financing issues and higher insurance cost among others. It has revised its outlook after industry volume witnessed sharpest decline at 13.3 percent in April-August period from a double-digit growth of 14.5% registered in the same period last year, amidst weak consumer sentiments and rising ownership costs.
According to the report, the decline in sales in FY20 was led by a 15-20 percent price hikes due to new safety norms, higher insurance and ownership costs, liquidity crisis in the NBFC sector and increased load carrying capacity for medium and heavy commercial vehicles that led to high inventories causing slow movement in movement of vehicles. However, it said in August, the sales of passenger cars and three wheelers have witnessed growth of about 1.8 percent and 9 percent, respectively, on month-on-month basis, while the decline in sales of commercial vehicles and two wheelers have narrowed down to 7.4 percent and 0.3 percent month-on-month, respectively, as against a fall of 17.5 percent and 6.6 percent during the previous month.
Care Ratings further said that the sales growth during the period was largely restricted on account of weak demand for commercial vehicles and passenger vehicles registering a double-digit decline of 21.5 percent and 18.8 percent y-o-y while decline in sales of two and three wheelers segment was restricted to 12.2 percent during the month. Going forward, it expects demand to continue to remain muted during Q2 FY20 and pick up only by Q3 FY20 and continue in Q4 FY20 with various planned product launches, festival demand and pre-buying of automobiles before the implementation of BS-VI norms from April 1, 2020.
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