India’s Q2FY20 GDP growth dips to 4.5%; lowest in over six years

30 Nov 2019 Evaluate

With deceleration in manufacturing output and subdued farm sector activity, India’s economic growth continued its downturn and slipped to 4.5% in July-September quarter (Q2) of current fiscal year (FY20), as compare to 7% in Q2FY19. Indian economy recorded slowest growth rate in over six years. Besides, in the previous quarter of the ongoing fiscal, the economic growth was 5%. The previous low was recorded at 4.3% in the January-March period of 2012-13. Also, falling consumer demand and private investment, and a drop in exports due to a global slowdown contributed to the slowdown in the country’s economic growth.

As per the National Statistical Office (NSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation data, GDP at Constant (2011-12) Prices in Q2 of 2019-20 is estimated at Rs 35.99 lakh crore, as against Rs 34.43 lakh crore in Q2 of 2018-19, showing a growth rate of 4.5%. Quarterly GVA (Basic Price) at Constant (2011-2012) Prices for Q2 of 2019-20 is estimated at Rs 33.16 lakh crore, as against Rs 31.79 lakh crore in Q2 of 2018-19, showing a growth rate of 4.3% over the corresponding quarter of previous year. GDP at Current Prices in Q2 of 2019-20 is estimated at Rs 49.64 lakh crore, as against Rs 46.79 lakh crore in Q2 of 2018-19, showing a growth rate of 6.1%. GVA at Basic Price at Current Prices in Q2 of 2019-20, is estimated at Rs 45.09 lakh crore, as against Rs 42.42 lakh crore in Q2, 2018-19, showing an increase of 6.3%. On a half-yearly basis (April-September 2019), GDP growth came in at 4.8% as compared to 7.5% in the same period a year ago.

The Gross Value Added (GVA) growth in the manufacturing sector contracted by 1% in the second quarter of this fiscal from 6.9% expansion a year ago. Similarly, farm sector GVA growth remained subdued at 2.1%, down from 4.9% in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal. Construction sector GVA growth too slowed to 3.3% from 8.5% earlier. Mining sector growth was recorded at 0.1% as against 2.2% contraction a year ago. Electricity, gas, water supply and other utility services growth also slowed to 3.6% from 8.7% a year ago. Similarly, trade, hotel, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting growth was also down to 4.8% in the second quarter from 6.9% a year ago. Financial, real estate and professional services growth slowed to 5.8% in the Q2 FY2019-20 from 7% a year ago. On the other hand, public administration, defence and other services reported improvement with an 11.6% rise during the quarter under review from 8.6% a year earlier.

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