Domestic passenger traffic growth likely to decline to six-year low of 4.5% in FY20: ICRA

20 Dec 2019 Evaluate

Rating agency ICRA has said it is expecting that domestic passenger traffic growth likely to decline to a six-year low of 4.5 percent in the current financial year (FY20), after five years of double digit growth, and the financial health of the aviation industry will continue to deteriorate. The agency expects Indian carriers to trim combined losses by 22 percent to Rs 7,800 crore this fiscal as against Rs 10,000 crore in the year-ago period, helped by parking of almost of the Rs 58,000 crore debt of Air India in the special purpose vehicle from its balance sheet.

It mentioned that excluding Air India, the rest of the industry is expected to report net loss of around Rs 1,500 crore in the fiscal with a total debt of around Rs 7,000 crore as on March 31, 2020.The industry prospects are expected to gradually improve, contingent on the movement in the jet fuel prices.

It highlighted that a series of events during the current fiscal such as grounding of Jet Airways earlier this year, grounding of the Boeing 737 Max aircraft due to technical issues and the recurrent problems with the Pratt & Whitney engines in A320neos have impacted the industry's capacity and thereby the passenger growth.

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