Indian economy likely to rebound in 2020 on govt measures: CII

30 Dec 2019 Evaluate

Industry body Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) -- President Vikram Kirloskar has said that India's economy is expected to rebound in 2020 on the back of measures taken by the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) coupled with easing of global trade tensions. He mentioned that nascent signs of recovery are noted in the form of improved PMIs (Purchasing Managers' Index) of manufacturing and services, jump in passenger air traffic, sharp moderation in the decline in sales of passenger cars, among others.

He also suggested a flexible fiscal policy that will set a central government's target for the deficit in the range of around 0.5 to 0.75 per cent, and said it is likely to have a significant multiplier effect on the economy. However, he said that the economy may continue to see a subdued Gross Domestic Product (GDP) print in the third quarter of current financial year as well, the quarters thereafter are likely to see a rebound.

According to the CII, with the initial difficulties associated with the goods and services tax (GST) and the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) getting gradually ironed out, the industry is hopeful of substantial benefits for the economy. It said that while 2019 will be remembered as one where the systemic clean-up of the financial sector picked up pace, which might have resulted in short-term pain, this tidying up will have extensive positive ramifications for the economy in the short-to-medium term.

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